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PNM favoured to win

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The last poll conducted by H.H.B & Associates in the five critical marginal seats shows the Opposition People’s National Movement (PNM) as the party favoured to win tomorrow’s general election.

Louis Bertrand and H.H.B & Associates polled 120 people from the marginal seats of Toco/Sangre Grande, St Joseph, Tunapuna, San Fernando West and Lopinot/Bon Air West. In each one, the PNM took the lead over the ruling United National Congress/People’s Partnership.

This latest poll found that the PNM was considered “best” in looking after the interests of the people, having the best policies, and possessing the best team of leaders capable of dealing with the challenges currently facing the country in all four constituencies.

PNM leader Dr Keith Rowley has overtaken Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar as being the “best prime minister” in the marginals polled.

The findings also show that a strong number of voters who selected the UNC/PP in 2010 have now crossed over to the PNM. 

In Toco/Sangre Grande, as many as 19 per cent of the people who voted for the PP back in 2010 have now confirmed that they will be voting for the PNM in tomorrow’s election, as compared to four per cent of PNM voters who have now crossed over to the UNC/PP.

In St Joseph, as in Toco/Sangre Grande, the electorate found that the PNM had the “best” team of leaders, best policies, and the best position to look after the interests of the people.

In St Joseph, it was found that 24 per cent of voters who picked the UNC/PP in 2010 now prefer the PNM.

The PNM managed to retain some 82 per cent of its 2010 voters, compared to the PP which retained 61 per cent of its voters.

In Tunapuna, some 51 per cent found that Rowley would make a better prime minister, compared to 35 per cent who back Persad-Bissessar to return to the post.

In San Fernando West, 27 per cent of the voters who backed the UNC/PP have now crossed over to the PNM, while 17 per cent are undecided. The retention rate for the PP is now 56 per cent. 

In Lopinot/Bon Air West, some eight per cent of the people polled supported the ILP, while the majority backed the PNM. Thirteen per cent of the UNC/PP voters are now favouring the PNM to take the win, with the ILP holding some 13 per cent of the voters in the Lopinot/Bon Air West constituency. In this area, the UNC/PP retained 58 per cent of its 2010 voters while the PNM retained some 92 per cent of those who voted for them in 2010. No one polled indicated that they moved from supporting the PNM to the UNC/PP.


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